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Fram vs Vestri

Iceland Iceland

League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Thordarson M.
9' Event
Mehanovic I.
43' Event
Selven J.

AI Match Summary

Fram in this League Cup matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fram.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fram
6%
Draws
4%
Vestri
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fram

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fram lately — more wins on the board than Vestri.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Fram taking it.
  • Cup games in League Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Fram Clean Sheet 13%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fram Vestri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.43 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 League Cup
Fram vs Vestri
5:2
Aug 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
Vestri vs Fram
3:2
Jul 12, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Vestri vs Fram
1:0
May 18, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Vestri
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Vestri
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Thordarson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orrason T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.22

Vestri Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehanovic I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Selven J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fram 84 / 100
Vestri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fram Vestri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fram's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vestri has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Fram stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fram VS Vestri
2.43 Goals Scored 1.5
1.86 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stjarnan541017:613
2Keflavik531113:1010
3Kopavogur531110:1210
4Fram520317:116
5Vestri511310:144
6Aegir50053:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thor Akureyri431014:310
2Akranes42117:57
3Valur42028:76
4Afturelding42024:106
5Grotta40042:100
6Volsungur00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KR Reykjavik531116:610
2Vikingur Reykjavik53116:310
3Njardvik52218:98
4IR Reykjavik521211:137
5KA Akureyri51135:74
6Grindavik50235:132
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fylkir540113:512
2Throttur430111:89
3Leiknir Reykjavik52037:136
4Hafnarfjordur51138:64
5IBV Vestmannaeyjar31115:54
6Breidablik41033:103