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Francana U20 vs Comercial U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2024
Francana U20 Logo

Francana U20

5 - 2
FT
Comercial U20 Logo

Comercial U20

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Correa G.
28' Event
Diego P.
43' Event
Yuri
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2024 game between Francana U20 and Comercial U20 finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Francana U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Francana U20
15%
Draws
34%
Comercial U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Francana U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Comercial U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Comercial U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Paulista U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Francana U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Comercial U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francana U20 Comercial U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2024 Paulista U20
Francana U20 vs Comercial U20
5:2
May 10, 2024 Paulista U20
Comercial U20 vs Francana U20
2:2
Jun 10, 2023 Paulista U20
Comercial U20 vs Francana U20
3:1
May 6, 2023 Paulista U20
Francana U20 vs Comercial U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francana U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Correa G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Comercial U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chiari G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francana U20 26 / 100
Comercial U20 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francana U20 Comercial U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Francana U20's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Comercial U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Away concern: Comercial U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Francana U20 VS Comercial U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Francana U20

(Home)
12 Jan
Ponte Preta U20
2 : 1
Francana U20
10 Jan
Francana U20
0 : 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
06 Jan
Francana U20
1 : 0
Barra FC U20
03 Jan
Francana U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
10 Jan
Francana U20
0 : 3
Atletico-MG U20
Page 1 of 6

Comercial U20

(Away)
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 3
America MG U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
2 : 0
Noroeste U20
03 Jan
Comercial U20
1 : 2
Atletico-PI U20
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 0
Vitoria U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 10 9 1 0 33:5 28
2 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 10 8 1 1 24:7 25
3 Olimpia FC U20 10 4 1 5 9:18 13
4 Tanabi U20 10 4 0 6 12:17 12
5 Rio Preto EC U20 10 2 0 8 9:23 6
6 Fernandopolis U20 10 1 1 8 5:22 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino U20 10 9 1 0 37:5 28
2 Gremio Prudente U20 10 7 1 2 17:9 22
3 Marilia AC U20 10 5 1 4 19:13 16
4 Presidente Prudente U20 10 4 1 5 15:21 13
5 Vocem U20 10 1 2 7 10:23 5
6 Tupa U20 10 0 2 8 8:35 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 10 7 2 1 43:8 23
2 Sertaozinho U20 10 6 1 3 17:17 19
3 Comercial U20 10 3 5 2 26:20 14
4 CA Bandeirante U20 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
5 Francana U20 10 3 1 6 20:28 10
6 Inter de Bebedouro U20 10 2 1 7 14:39 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velo Clube U20 10 8 1 1 22:5 25
2 Ferroviaria U20 10 6 2 2 34:5 20
3 XV de Jau U20 10 5 3 2 27:6 18
4 Rio Claro U20 10 4 2 4 15:14 14
5 Sao Carlos U20 10 1 2 7 7:29 5
6 CA Taquaritinga U20 10 1 0 9 2:48 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao U20 10 5 4 1 14:6 19
2 Internacional de Limeira U20 10 4 5 1 18:16 17
3 Piracicaba U20 10 5 1 4 18:12 16
4 Cosmopolitano Sports U20 10 4 3 3 10:8 15
5 Rio Branco EC U20 10 3 1 6 13:16 10
6 Independente SP U20 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ponte Preta U20 10 7 1 2 20:8 22
2 Aguai U20 10 5 2 3 11:6 17
3 Brasilis U20 10 5 1 4 15:20 16
4 Itapirense U20 10 4 0 6 13:21 12
5 Porto Football U20 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
6 Guacuano U20 10 2 1 7 11:19 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ituano U20 10 7 1 2 25:13 22
2 Desportivo U20 10 7 0 3 25:10 21
3 Sao Bento U20 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
4 Sfera U20 10 5 2 3 25:14 17
5 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 10 3 0 7 11:19 9
6 Elosport U20 10 0 0 10 4:38 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Suzano U20 10 7 2 1 16:6 23
2 Taubate U20 10 5 3 2 22:15 18
3 Pinda U20 10 4 2 4 24:12 14
4 Sao Jose EC U20 10 3 5 2 16:11 14
5 CA Joseense U20 10 3 3 4 21:21 12
6 Uniao Mogi U20 10 0 1 9 4:38 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 10 7 1 2 23:8 22
2 Guarani U20 10 6 3 1 22:8 21
3 SKA Brasil U20 10 4 4 2 14:11 16
4 Capivariano U20 10 4 2 4 18:20 14
5 Paulinia FU U20 10 1 3 6 12:27 6
6 Metropolitano FC U20 10 1 1 8 6:21 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 10 10 0 0 38:4 30
2 Referencia U20 10 5 2 3 18:19 17
3 Osasco Sporting U20 10 5 1 4 18:10 16
4 Osasco Audax U20 10 2 2 6 9:19 8
5 GE Osasco U20 10 2 2 6 21:33 8
6 Clube Vital U20 10 2 1 7 10:29 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 10 9 1 0 44:2 28
2 Ibrachina U20 10 7 1 2 24:11 22
3 Portuguesa U20 10 4 2 4 13:17 14
4 Flamengo SP U20 10 3 1 6 8:21 10
5 Nacional SP U20 10 2 4 4 11:13 10
6 Guarulhos U20 10 0 1 9 5:41 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians U20 10 7 2 1 18:4 23
2 Sao Caetano U20 10 7 2 1 12:4 23
3 Agua Santa U20 10 3 2 5 11:15 11
4 Aster Itaqua U20 10 3 2 5 5:11 11
5 EC Sao Bernardo U20 10 2 3 5 7:10 9
6 CA Juventus U20 10 1 3 6 6:15 6
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 10 8 1 1 38:4 25
2 Santo Andre U20 10 7 1 2 18:16 22
3 Portuguesa Santista U20 10 5 2 3 19:20 17
4 Maua FC U20 10 5 0 5 15:15 15
5 Jabaquara U20 10 1 3 6 9:18 6
6 Mauaense U20 10 0 1 9 9:35 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams