Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Francana vs Jaguariuna

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Francana play Jaguariuna in the Paulista A4 2017. Francana are favorites here. Recently, Francana averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Jaguariuna averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, Francana won 3, Jaguariuna won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 1, 2018 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Francana and 1.19 for Jaguariuna. This points to a Francana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Francana
24%
Draws
17%
Jaguariuna
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Francana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Francana picked up more points recently compared to Jaguariuna.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Francana Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguariuna Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francana Jaguariuna
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.15 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2018 Paulista A4
Jaguariuna vs Francana
0:6
May 13, 2018 Paulista A4
Francana vs Jaguariuna
2:0
Jul 2, 2017 Paulista A4
Francana vs Jaguariuna
3:1
May 14, 2017 Paulista A4
Jaguariuna vs Francana
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francana 57 / 100
Jaguariuna 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francana Jaguariuna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Francana & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Francana attacking → ← attacking Jaguariuna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Francana scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Jaguariuna let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Francana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Jaguariuna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 18
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vocem1292116:429
2Osvaldo Cruz1263318:1121
3Jose Bonifacio EC125439:819
4America SP1254316:1119
5Gremio Prudente1244421:1216
6Presidente Prudente1224612:1910
7Assisense1201117:341
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1XV de Jau1281329:1425
2Brasilis1254320:1219
3Francana1254316:1219
4Taquaritinga1253416:1718
5Inter de Bebedouro1243513:1515
6Amparo SP1224611:2210
7Jaguariuna1223715:289
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Primavera EC1493220:630
2EC Sao Bernardo1492326:1329
3SKA Brasil1473422:1724
4AA Itarare1456328:1621
5Elosport1445521:1617
6Guarulhos1444622:2516
7Diadema14221012:388
8Barcelona SP1415815:358
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Jose EC1282223:1326
2Manthiqueira1281324:1625
3Mauaense1272323:1123
4Uniao Mogi1244415:916
5Atletico Real Cubatense1233612:2012
6Jabaquara1225512:1611
7Atletico Mogi1211106:304