Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Francana vs Monte Azul

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Murilo
76' Event
Mazia da Costa M. A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Francana
28%
Draws
22%
Monte Azul
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Francana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Francana haven't matched Monte Azul's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Francana taking it.
  • Monte Azul arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Monte Azul, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Francana Clean Sheet 68%
Monte Azul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francana Monte Azul
Matches Played 35 41
Wins 9 15
Draws 11 13
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2025 Copa Paulista
Monte Azul vs Francana
1:2
Aug 24, 2025 Copa Paulista
Francana vs Monte Azul
1:1
Jan 29, 2025 Paulista A3
Francana vs Monte Azul
1:1
Jul 21, 2024 Copa Paulista
Francana vs Monte Azul
2:3
Jun 16, 2024 Copa Paulista
Monte Azul vs Francana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francana Compare

Top Goalscorer Murilo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Monte Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazia da Costa M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francana 59 / 100
Monte Azul 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francana Monte Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Francana found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (35 games).

Monte Azul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 41 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Monte Azul has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Francana VS Monte Azul
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Francana

(Home)
21 Mar
Marilia
2 : 0
Francana
15 Mar
Francana
3 : 0
Rio Claro
11 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Francana
08 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 0
Francana
04 Mar
Francana
1 : 3
Rio Preto EC
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Monte Azul

(Away)
07 Mar
Ituano
3 : 3
Monte Azul
04 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 2
Sertaozinho
01 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 1
Agua Santa
25 Feb
Monte Azul
1 : 3
Juventus-SP
22 Feb
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Monte Azul
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Piracicaba 2
AEA Aracatuba 1
Portuguesa Santista 1
Osasco Sporting 2
Sao Jose EC 3
Sao Bento 2
Comercial 2
Internacional de Limeira 1
Uniao Sao Joao 3
Noroeste 1
Primavera EC 2
Paulista 1
Gremio Prudente 2
Sao Caetano 0
Monte Azul 2
Francana 3
Quarter-finals
Piracicaba 3
Osasco Sporting 0
Sao Jose EC 0
Comercial 2
Uniao Sao Joao 0
Primavera EC 6
Gremio Prudente 4
Francana 1
Semi-finals
Piracicaba 2
Comercial 1
Primavera EC 3
Gremio Prudente 2
Final
Piracicaba 2
Primavera EC 1