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Francana vs Tupa Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Francana in this Paulista A4 2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Francana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Francana
15%
Draws
42%
Tupa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Francana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Tupa have won more games recently than Francana.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Francana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Francana have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Francana Clean Sheet 16%
Tupa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francana Tupa
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 Paulista A4
Francana vs Tupa
3:2
Aug 17, 2019 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Francana
1:2
Mar 29, 2015 Paulista A3
Francana vs Tupa
0:3
Mar 1, 2014 Paulista A3
Francana vs Tupa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francana 48 / 100
Tupa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francana Tupa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Francana's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tupa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Difficult form: Tupa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Francana VS Tupa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Francana

(Home)
21 Mar
Marilia
2 : 0
Francana
15 Mar
Francana
3 : 0
Rio Claro
11 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Francana
08 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 0
Francana
04 Mar
Francana
1 : 3
Rio Preto EC
Page 1 of 6

Tupa

(Away)
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0
Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2
Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1
Tupa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
2 Marilia 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 Catanduva FC 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
4 Tupa 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
2 Sao Jose EC 6 2 3 1 10:7 9
3 Guarulhos 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
4 Catanduvense 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Rio Branco SP 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
3 Itapirense 6 1 4 1 10:8 7
4 Maua FC 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paulista 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
2 Assisense 6 3 1 2 5:6 10
3 Independente SP 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Amparo SP 6 1 1 4 8:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)