Sport Picks
Match Events
86'
86'
Bonaccorsi S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ancona lately — more wins on the board than Francavilla.
- Win probability leans Francavilla's way, sitting at 90%.
- Ancona arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ancona, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Ancona Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Francavilla | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Francavilla vs Ancona
0:1
Jan 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Ancona vs Francavilla
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Francavilla Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Ancona Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonaccorsi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Francavilla 95 / 100
Ancona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Francavilla Ancona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Francavilla stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Francavilla scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Ancona conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Francavilla VS Ancona
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Francavilla
(Home) 03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
26 Apr
Sarnese
2 : 2 Francavilla
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
02 Apr
Fidelis Andria
0 : 0 Francavilla
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03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
29 Mar
Francavilla
2 : 2 Heraclea
15 Mar
Francavilla
0 : 2 Citta di Fasano
22 Feb
Francavilla
1 : 1 Real Normanna
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Ancona
(Away) 10 May
Ancona
1 : 3 Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
26 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Ancona
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0 Sammaurese
12 Apr
Fossombrone
1 : 2 Ancona
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26 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Ancona
12 Apr
Fossombrone
1 : 2 Ancona
29 Mar
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 1 Ancona
15 Mar
Giulianova
1 : 2 Ancona
22 Feb
Unipomezia
1 : 1 Ancona
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
