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Stadium Background

Francavilla vs Barletta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Mateus Castro

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Francavilla and Barletta finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barletta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Francavilla
30%
Draws
27%
Barletta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Francavilla haven't matched Barletta's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Francavilla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Barletta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francavilla Barletta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.27 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Barletta
0:1
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Francavilla
0:0
Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Barletta
0:0
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Francavilla
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francavilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus Castro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francavilla 95 / 100
Barletta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francavilla Barletta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Francavilla went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Francavilla found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Barletta let in goals in 34% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Francavilla VS Barletta
2 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Francavilla

(Home)
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0
Afragolese
26 Apr
Sarnese
2 : 2
Francavilla
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3
Francavilla
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Fidelis Andria
0 : 0
Francavilla
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Barletta

(Away)
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Scafatese
1 : 1
Barletta
10 May
Barletta
2 : 1
A.C. Savoia
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Barletta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)