Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Musy Hernandez M.
(Penalty)
28'
28'
Barone V.
34'
34'
Dicorato F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H game between Francavilla and Heraclea finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Very High Confidence
- Francavilla carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Francavilla taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Heraclea Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Francavilla | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Heraclea
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Heraclea vs Francavilla
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Barone V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Heraclea Compare
Top Goalscorer Dicorato F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Francavilla 95 / 100
Heraclea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Francavilla Heraclea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FCF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Francavilla has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Francavilla scored in 67% of their last 33 games.
Heraclea has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Scoring Trends
Francavilla VS Heraclea
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Francavilla
(Home) 03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
26 Apr
Sarnese
2 : 2 Francavilla
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
02 Apr
Fidelis Andria
0 : 0 Francavilla
Page 1 of 7
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
29 Mar
Francavilla
2 : 2 Heraclea
15 Mar
Francavilla
0 : 2 Citta di Fasano
22 Feb
Francavilla
1 : 1 Real Normanna
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Heraclea
(Away) 10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1 Heraclea
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1 Ferrandina
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 Heraclea
19 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 3 Barletta
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1 Heraclea
Page 1 of 7
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1 Heraclea
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 Heraclea
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1 Heraclea
29 Mar
Francavilla
2 : 2 Heraclea
15 Mar
Fidelis Andria
1 : 0 Heraclea
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)
