Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Musy Hernandez M.
(Penalty)
28'
28'
Barone V.
34'
34'
Dicorato F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Francavilla and Heraclea finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Francavilla carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Heraclea Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Francavilla | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Heraclea
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Heraclea vs Francavilla
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Barone V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Heraclea Compare
Top Goalscorer Dicorato F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Francavilla 41 / 100
Heraclea 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Francavilla Heraclea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Francavilla scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Heraclea let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Heraclea lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Francavilla VS Heraclea
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Francavilla
(Home) 20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1 Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1 Francavilla
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0 Ischia
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0 Ischia
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
29 Mar
Francavilla
2 : 2 Heraclea
Page 1 of 3
Heraclea
(Away) 10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1 Heraclea
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1 Ferrandina
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 Heraclea
19 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 3 Barletta
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1 Heraclea
Page 1 of 6
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1 Heraclea
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 Heraclea
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1 Heraclea
29 Mar
Francavilla
2 : 2 Heraclea
15 Mar
Fidelis Andria
1 : 0 Heraclea
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
