Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Francavilla vs Palmese 1914

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Giuliodori G.

AI Match Summary

Palmese 1914 in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmese 1914.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Francavilla
20%
Draws
29%
Palmese 1914
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmese 1914 haven't matched Francavilla's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Francavilla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Palmese 1914 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 20%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francavilla Palmese 1914
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Palmese 1914
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Palmese 1914 vs Francavilla
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Palmese 1914
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francavilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Palmese 1914 Compare

Top Goalscorer Giuliodori G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francavilla 67 / 100
Palmese 1914 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francavilla Palmese 1914

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Francavilla scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Palmese 1914's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Francavilla has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Francavilla VS Palmese 1914
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Francavilla

(Home)
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0
Ischia
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0
Afragolese
26 Apr
Sarnese
2 : 2
Francavilla
Page 1 of 7

Palmese 1914

(Away)
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1
Palmese 1914
02 May
Palmese 1914
0 : 2
Monastir
26 Apr
Scafatese
1 : 0
Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Gravina 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Nocerina 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
4 Martina Calcio 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
5 Real Forio 2014 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Bisceglie 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
7 Turris 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
8 Real Normanna 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
9 Ebolitana 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
10 Palmese 1914 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
11 Francavilla 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
12 San Felice Gladiator 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
13 Brindisi 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Manfredonia 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
15 A.C.D. Nardo 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
16 Ischia 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
17 Fidelis Andria 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
18 Melfi 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)