Sport Picks
Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 
Match Events
56'
56'
De Crescenzo A.
74'
74'
Barone V.
84'
84'
Sosa F.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Virtus Francavilla in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus Francavilla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Francavilla haven't matched Virtus Francavilla's recent run of results.
- Virtus Francavilla are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 23%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Francavilla | Virtus Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Francavilla
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla
1:2
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Francavilla
2:2
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla
0:1
Feb 28, 2016 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Barone V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer De Crescenzo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Francavilla 29 / 100
Virtus Francavilla 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Francavilla's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Virtus Francavilla has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Francavilla went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Francavilla VS Virtus Francavilla
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Francavilla
(Home) 20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1 Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1 Francavilla
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0 Ischia
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0 Ischia
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
29 Mar
Francavilla
2 : 2 Heraclea
Page 1 of 3
Virtus Francavilla
(Away) 20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
03 May
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 2 Sarnese
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
02 Apr
Afragolese
2 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
22 Mar
Acerrana
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
