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France U16 vs Italy U16 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024 Leo-Lagrange sports complex, Bonneuil-sur-Marne
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Diallo D.
41'
Sub
Sylla M. In: Mandza Tsiendi X.
Out: Sylla M.
41'
Sub
Decrenisse A. In: Mouapa T.
Out: Decrenisse A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
France U16
15%
Draws
41%
Italy U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to France U16 lately — more wins on the board than Italy U16.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on France U16 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
France U16 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U16 Italy U16
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 26 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.74 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Friendly International
France U16 vs Italy U16
1:1
Nov 5, 2022 Friendly International
France U16 vs Italy U16
2:3
Nov 4, 2021 Friendly International
France U16 vs Italy U16
0:3
Mar 8, 2012 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs France U16
0:1
Mar 6, 2012 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs France U16
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Batola C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Italy U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U16 85 / 100
Italy U16 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U16 Italy U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U16 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (38 games).

Italy U16 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: France U16 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

France U16 VS Italy U16
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

France U16

(Home)
21 Apr
France U16
5 : 1
Portugal U16
19 Apr
France U16
4 : 0
Cameroon U16
17 Apr
France U16
2 : 0
Vendee selection U17
15 Apr
France U16
0 : 0
China U16
05 Mar
England U16
1 : 2
France U16
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Italy U16

(Away)
03 Jun
Portugal U16
0 : 1
Italy U16
31 May
Norway U16
1 : 2
Italy U16
29 May
Italy U16
3 : 2
South Korea U16
10 Apr
Czech Republic U16
0 : 2
Italy U16
08 Apr
Czech Republic U16
3 : 0
Italy U16
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