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France U21 vs England U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
McAtee J.
Assist: Philogene J.
4' Event
Merlin Q.
Assist: Cherki R.
7' Event
Ekitike H.
Assist: Cherki R.

AI Match Summary

France U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored France U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
France U21
20%
Draws
40%
England U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to England U21 lately — more wins on the board than France U21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and France U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
France U21 Clean Sheet 12%
England U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U21 England U21
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 18 22
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 2.78 2.93
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2025 Friendly International
France U21 vs England U21
5:3
Mar 25, 2023 Friendly International
England U21 vs France U21
4:0
Jun 18, 2019 Euro U21
England U21 vs France U21
1:2
Nov 14, 2016 Friendly International
France U21 vs England U21
3:2
Nov 17, 2014 Friendly International
France U21 vs England U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekitike H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Merlin Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

England U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer McAtee J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elliott H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U21 35 / 100
England U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U21 England U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: France U21 scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

France U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: England U21 conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

France U21 VS England U21
3 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

France U21

(Home)
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Luxembourg U21
1 : 5
France U21
17 Nov
France U21
1 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
14 Nov
Switzerland U21
1 : 1
France U21
13 Oct
France U21
6 : 1
Estonia U21
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England U21

(Away)
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0
Andorra U21
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