Sport Picks

Stadium Background

France U21 vs Estonia U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Stade des Alpes, Grenoble
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tel M.
Assist: Odobert W.
12' Event
Cisse D.
Assist: Tel M.
29'
Tel M.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between France U21 and Estonia U21 finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward France U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
France U21
30%
Draws
9%
Estonia U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: France U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • France U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on France U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • France U21 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
France U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Estonia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U21 Estonia U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.64 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.11 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Euro U21
Estonia U21 vs France U21
0:2
Oct 13, 2025 Euro U21
France U21 vs Estonia U21
6:1
Mar 25, 2015 Friendly International
France U21 vs Estonia U21
6:0
Mar 27, 2009 Friendly International
France U21 vs Estonia U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kroupi E. J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Odobert W.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Estonia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Varjund T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U21 95 / 100
Estonia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U21 Estonia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Estonia U21 conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

France U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

France U21 VS Estonia U21
3.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

France U21

(Home)
29 Sept
Estonia U21
0 : 2
France U21
25 Sept
Iceland U21
1 : 1
France U21
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Luxembourg U21
1 : 5
France U21
17 Nov
France U21
1 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
Page 1 of 6

Estonia U21

(Away)
29 Sept
Estonia U21
0 : 2
France U21
25 Sept
Estonia U21
1 : 2
Faroe Islands U21
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Switzerland U21
2 : 1
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 9 8 0 1 40:4 24
2 Finland U21 9 7 1 1 30:3 22
3 Romania U21 9 5 1 3 11:6 16
4 Kosovo U21 9 4 2 3 17:7 14
5 Cyprus U21 9 1 0 8 6:29 3
6 San Marino U21 9 0 0 9 0:55 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 9 7 1 1 33:2 22
2 Czech Republic U21 9 5 3 1 17:4 18
3 Scotland U21 9 4 2 3 23:12 14
4 Bulgaria U21 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 9 1 4 4 8:24 7
6 Gibraltar U21 9 0 0 9 1:41 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 8 6 2 0 24:5 20
2 Switzerland U21 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
3 Iceland U21 9 4 3 2 20:11 15
4 Faroe Islands U21 9 4 0 5 8:15 12
5 Luxembourg U21 8 2 1 5 8:19 7
6 Estonia U21 9 0 2 7 9:25 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 9 7 2 0 22:4 23
2 Ireland U21 9 5 2 2 13:13 17
3 Slovakia U21 9 5 2 2 15:12 17
4 Andorra U21 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
5 Moldova U21 9 1 3 5 9:17 6
6 Kazakhstan U21 9 1 1 7 9:18 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 9 9 0 0 26:2 27
2 Italy U21 9 8 0 1 26:5 24
3 Montenegro U21 9 3 2 4 12:15 11
4 Sweden U21 9 3 1 5 10:22 10
5 North Macedonia U21 9 2 1 6 8:18 7
6 Armenia U21 9 0 0 9 4:24 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 9 8 0 1 30:5 24
2 Greece U21 9 8 0 1 28:6 24
3 Northern Ireland U21 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
4 Georgia U21 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
5 Latvia U21 9 1 2 6 6:20 5
6 Malta U21 9 0 0 9 2:36 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Israel U21 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
3 Netherlands U21 7 2 3 2 11:10 9
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 7 1 4 2 3:7 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 7 5 1 1 14:3 16
2 Turkey U21 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 7 1 3 3 9:13 6
5 Lithuania U21 7 0 2 5 4:16 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 7 5 1 1 13:2 16
2 Denmark U21 7 4 2 1 15:6 14
3 Austria U21 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
4 Wales U21 7 2 0 5 6:21 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)