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France U23 vs Dominican Republic U23

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stade Mayol
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

France U23 play Dominican Republic U23 in the Friendly International 2024. France U23 are favorites here. Recently, France U23 averaged 3.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Dominican Republic U23 averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.75 conceded. In past meetings, France U23 won 1, Dominican Republic U23 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 11, 2024 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.96 for France U23 and 0.83 for Dominican Republic U23. This points to a France U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

72%
France U23
15%
Draws
13%
Dominican Republic U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • France U23 picked up more points recently compared to Dominican Republic U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.96 vs 0.83 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
France U23 Clean Sheet 26%
Dominican Republic U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U23 Dominican Republic U23
Matches Played 6 16
Wins 4 3
Draws 2 1
Losses 0 12
Goals Scored 3.17 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.17 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2024 Friendly International
France U23 vs Dominican Republic U23
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacazette A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Olise M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.44
Avg xA / game 1.58

Dominican Republic U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U23 70 / 100
Dominican Republic U23 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U23 Dominican Republic U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick France U23 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.3%
1.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

France U23 attacking → ← attacking Dominican Republic U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U23 scored in 100% of their last 6 games.

Dominican Republic U23 let in goals in 81% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

France U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dominican Republic U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 10
3.17 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.17 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75