Sport Picks

Stadium Background

France U23 vs Japan U23

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stade Mayol, Toulon
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Fujita J.
32'
Lukeba C.
40'
Yamamoto R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between France U23 and Japan U23 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
France U23
20%
Draws
46%
Japan U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Japan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Japan U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
France U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Japan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U23 Japan U23
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 4 22
Draws 2 3
Losses 0 4
Goals Scored 3.17 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2024 Friendly International
France U23 vs Japan U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Olise M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Japan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fujita J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U23 30 / 100
Japan U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U23 Japan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U23 found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (6 games).

Solid form: France U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Japan U23 conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

France U23 VS Japan U23
4 Goals Scored 2.5
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

France U23

(Home)
17 Jul
France U23
1 : 1
Japan U23
11 Jul
France U23
7 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
04 Jul
France U23
4 : 1
Paraguay U23
25 Mar
France U23
2 : 2
USA U23
22 Mar
France U23
3 : 2
Ivory Coast U23
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Japan U23

(Away)
24 Jan
China U23
0 : 4
Japan U23
20 Jan
Japan U23
1 : 0
South Korea U23
16 Jan
Japan U23
2 : 1
Jordan U23
13 Jan
Japan U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
10 Jan
United Arab Emirates U23
0 : 3
Japan U23
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