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France U23 W vs USA U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

France U23 W play USA U23 W in the Friendly International Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, France U23 W averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. USA U23 W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, France U23 W won 1, USA U23 W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 16, 2026 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.96 for France U23 W and 1.51 for USA U23 W. This points to a USA U23 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
France U23 W
21%
Draws
46%
USA U23 W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: USA U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • France U23 W picked up more points recently compared to USA U23 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.96 vs 1.51 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
France U23 W Clean Sheet 15%
USA U23 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U23 W USA U23 W
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.47 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.44 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs USA U23 W
3:4
Feb 20, 2023 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs USA U23 W
1:1
Feb 17, 2023 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs USA U23 W
0:2
Apr 7, 2019 Friendly International Women
USA U23 W vs France U23 W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

USA U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cooper M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U23 W 33 / 100
USA U23 W 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U23 W USA U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: USA U23 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

France U23 W attacking → ← attacking USA U23 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U23 W scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

USA U23 W let in goals in 62% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

France U23 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

USA U23 W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 41
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.14
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.43