Sport Picks
Match Events
35'
35'
Lukebakio D.
Assist: Lavia R.
57'
57'
Lavia R.
60'
60'
Sub
Dembele O. In: Olise M.
Out: Dembele O.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League game between France and Belgium finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward France.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and France come out ahead of Belgium on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- France have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
France Clean Sheet 14%
Belgium Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | France | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 36 |
| Wins | 24 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.2 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2026 UEFA Nations League
France vs Belgium
4:1
Sep 28, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Belgium vs France
0:1
Oct 14, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Belgium vs France
1:2
Sep 9, 2024 UEFA Nations League
France vs Belgium
2:0
Jul 1, 2024 Euro
France vs Belgium
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
France Compare
Top Goalscorer Olise M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Doue D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Belgium Compare
Top Goalscorer Lukebakio D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
France 31 / 100
Belgium 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
France Belgium
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: France scored in 91% of their last 35 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
France has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Belgium lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
France VS Belgium
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
France
(Home) 05 Oct
France
4 : 1 Belgium
02 Oct
France
1 : 1 Italy
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1 France
25 Sept
Turkey
0 : 1 France
18 Jul
France
4 : 6 England
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
France
4 : 1 Belgium
02 Oct
France
1 : 1 Italy
18 Jul
France
4 : 6 England
14 Jul
France
0 : 2 Spain
09 Jul
France
2 : 0 Morocco
Page 1 of 4
Belgium
(Away) 05 Oct
France
4 : 1 Belgium
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0 Turkey
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1 France
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2 Belgium
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1 Belgium
Page 1 of 8
05 Oct
France
4 : 1 Belgium
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2 Belgium
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1 Belgium
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4 Belgium
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5 Belgium
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
