Sport Picks

World

Friendly International Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Match Events

43'

Olise M.

46'

Sub

Kounde J. In: Gusto M.

Out: Kounde J.

46'

Sub

Saliba W. In: Lacroix M.

Out: Saliba W.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

France host Northern Ireland in the Friendly International. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Northern Ireland have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while France have conceded 1.13 and scored 2.63. Past meetings favor France slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 0.85, favoring France. France in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

France

Draws

Northern Ireland

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

France has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Northern Ireland.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for France.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

France Clean Sheet 68%

Northern Ireland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	France	Northern Ireland
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	22	12
Draws	2	5
Losses	5	13
Goals Scored	2.63	0.57
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Friendly International

France vs Northern Ireland

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Aug 17, 1999 Friendly International

Northern Ireland vs France

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Jul 4, 1982 World Championship

France vs Northern Ireland

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

4:1

Jun 19, 1958 World Championship

France vs Northern Ireland

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France Compare

Top Goalscorer Olise M.

3 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Northern Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.52

Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France 95 / 100

Northern Ireland 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

France Northern Ireland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Northern Ireland let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

France went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Northern Ireland lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

France VS Northern Ireland

2.63 Goals Scored 0.57

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.14

100% Over 1.5 43%

100% Over 2.5 14%

75% Over 3.5 14%