Sport Picks

Stadium Background

France vs Poland

Europe Europe

Euro 2024 Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Zalewski N.
43'
Rabiot A.
53'
Probierz M.

AI Match Summary

The Euro 2024 game between France and Poland finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
France
15%
Draws
37%
Poland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • France carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives France a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
France Clean Sheet 68%
Poland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France Poland
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.19 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2024 Euro
France vs Poland
1:1
Dec 4, 2022 World Championship
France vs Poland
3:1
Jun 9, 2011 Friendly International
Poland vs France
0:1
Nov 17, 2004 Friendly International
France vs Poland
0:0
Feb 22, 2000 Friendly International
France vs Poland
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France 86 / 100
Poland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France Poland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: France scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Poland conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: France stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

France VS Poland
2.75 Goals Scored 1.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.83
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

France

(Home)
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
14 Jul
France
0 : 2
Spain
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1
France
30 Jun
France
3 : 0
Sweden
Page 1 of 7

Poland

(Away)
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2
Nigeria
31 May
Poland
0 : 2
Ukraine
31 Mar
Sweden
3 : 2
Poland
26 Mar
Poland
2 : 1
Albania
17 Nov
Malta
2 : 3
Poland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Switzerland 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Hungary 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Scotland 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Italy 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Croatia 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Albania 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Denmark 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Slovenia 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
4 Serbia 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 France 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Netherlands 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Poland 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
2 Belgium 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
3 Slovakia 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Ukraine 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Turkey 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Georgia 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams