Sport Picks

France vs Ukraine Prediction & H2H Stats

World

World Championship 2026 Parc des Princes, Paris

France

4 - 0

Ukraine

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Kone M.

54'

Mykhavko T.

55'

Mbappe K.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between France and Ukraine finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward France.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

France

15%

Draws

45%

Ukraine

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ukraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and France come out ahead of Ukraine on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

France Clean Sheet 20%

Ukraine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	France	Ukraine
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	21	12
Draws	2	6
Losses	5	10
Goals Scored	2.32	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.04	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.42	0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 World Championship

France vs Ukraine

4:0

Sep 5, 2025 World Championship

Ukraine vs France

0:2

Sep 4, 2021 World Championship

Ukraine vs France

1:1

Mar 24, 2021 World Championship

France vs Ukraine

1:1

Oct 7, 2020 Friendly International

France vs Ukraine

7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France Compare

Top Goalscorer Olise M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mbappe K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.09

Avg xA / game 0.71

Ukraine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.59

Avg xA / game 0.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France 32 / 100

Ukraine 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

France Ukraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ukraine Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Ukraine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Solid form: France remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

France VS Ukraine

2.5 Goals Scored 0.67

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.33

88% Over 1.5 33%

75% Over 2.5 17%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

France

(Home)

28 Sept

Belgium

0 : 1

France

25 Sept

Turkey

0 : 1

France

18 Jul

France

4 : 6

England

14 Jul

France

0 : 2

Spain

09 Jul

France

2 : 0

Morocco

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Ukraine

(Away)

28 Sept

Georgia

0 : 0

Ukraine

25 Sept

Hungary

0 : 1

Ukraine

07 Jun

Denmark

2 : 1

Ukraine

31 May

Poland

0 : 2

Ukraine

31 Mar

Ukraine

1 : 0

Albania

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