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France W vs Sweden W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Stade Auguste-Delaune
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Karchaoui S.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Angeldal F. In: Lundkvist H.
Out: Angeldal F.
46'
Sub
Schroder F. In: Blackstenius S.
Out: Schroder F.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between France W and Sweden W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward France W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
France W
11%
Draws
9%
Sweden W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: France W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and France W come out ahead of Sweden W on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on France W taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
France W Clean Sheet 20%
Sweden W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France W Sweden W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 24 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Sweden W vs France W
2:2
Nov 28, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
France W vs Sweden W
2:1
Jul 12, 2024 Euro Women
France W vs Sweden W
2:1
Apr 9, 2024 Euro Women
Sweden W vs France W
0:1
Oct 11, 2022 Friendly International Women
Sweden W vs France W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbock G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sweden W Compare

Top Goalscorer Blackstenius S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France W 76 / 100
Sweden W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France W Sweden W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France W scored in 94% of their last 35 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: France W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sweden W conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

France W VS Sweden W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Germany W3
France W2
Spain W5
Sweden W0
Final
Germany W0
Spain W3
France W4
Sweden W3