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Franciacorta vs Brusaporto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Alberti T.
48' Event
Mozzanica J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Franciacorta and Brusaporto finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Franciacorta
15%
Draws
48%
Brusaporto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brusaporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brusaporto come out ahead of Franciacorta on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Franciacorta taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 20%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Franciacorta Brusaporto
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.2 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Franciacorta
1:0
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Brusaporto
1:1
Feb 12, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Brusaporto
1:3
Oct 6, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Franciacorta
1:1
Feb 20, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Brusaporto
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Franciacorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Mozzanica J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Brusaporto Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberti T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Franciacorta 36 / 100
Brusaporto 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Franciacorta Brusaporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Franciacorta's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Brusaporto conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Franciacorta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brusaporto
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Franciacorta

(Home)
07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0
Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0
Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Franciacorta
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Brusaporto

(Away)
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)