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Franciscain vs Club Colonial Prediction & H2H Stats

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 game between Franciscain and Club Colonial finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Franciscain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Franciscain
15%
Draws
21%
Club Colonial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Franciscain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Franciscain come out ahead of Club Colonial on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Franciscain taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Franciscain Clean Sheet 20%
Club Colonial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Franciscain Club Colonial
Matches Played 36 36
Wins 29 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.42 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Club Colonial
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs Franciscain
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Club Colonial
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs Franciscain
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Club Colonial
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Franciscain 85 / 100
Club Colonial 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Franciscain Club Colonial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Franciscain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Franciscain scored in 86% of their last 36 outings.

Club Colonial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 36 matches.

Solid form: Franciscain remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Club Colonial registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Franciscain VS Club Colonial
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Franciscain

(Home)
12 Sept
Trenelle
1 : 5
Franciscain
05 Sept
Franciscain
4 : 1
RC Lorrain
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2
RC Saint Joseph
Page 1 of 8

Club Colonial

(Away)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
06 Jun
Golden Star
3 : 2
Club Colonial
30 May
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)