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Francs Borains vs Kortrijk

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Stade Robert Urbain
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Francs Borains play Kortrijk in the Challenger Pro League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Francs Borains averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Kortrijk averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Francs Borains won 1, Kortrijk won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Francs Borains and 2.50 for Kortrijk. This points to a Kortrijk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Francs Borains
15%
Draws
49%
Kortrijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kortrijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Francs Borains picked up more points recently compared to Kortrijk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Francs Borains Clean Sheet 10%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francs Borains Kortrijk
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.52 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Francs Borains vs Kortrijk
4:1
Aug 29, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Kortrijk vs Francs Borains
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francs Borains Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lavie C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kortrijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Adinany B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francs Borains 34 / 100
Kortrijk 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francs Borains Kortrijk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kortrijk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Francs Borains attacking → ← attacking Kortrijk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Francs Borains scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Kortrijk let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Francs Borains went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kortrijk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 54
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SK Beveren32284074:2388
2Kortrijk32214759:3367
3Beerschot VA32197652:3164
4RFC Liege321651144:3953
5Lommel SK32158959:4653
6Patro Eisden32149944:4051
7Eupen321211944:3647
8Sporting Lokeren3210121048:4542
9Gent U23321251542:5141
10Lierse SK321081435:4238
11RFC Seraing328111337:4435
12Francs Borains32981533:4734
13RWDM Brussels32991450:5433
14Anderlecht U23327101546:5531
15Genk U23327101542:5931
16Club Brugge U2332562133:5521
17OC Charleroi32372226:6816