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Fraserburgh vs Buckie Thistle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fraserburgh host Buckie Thistle in the Highland League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Fraserburgh at 2 goals for, 1.63 against; Buckie Thistle at 1.89 for, 1.64 against. Past meetings favor Fraserburgh slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 2.06, favoring Fraserburgh. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Fraserburgh
15%
Draws
0%
Buckie Thistle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fraserburgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fraserburgh have won more games recently than Buckie Thistle.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Fraserburgh taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 10%
Buckie Thistle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraserburgh Buckie Thistle
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Buckie Thistle
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Fraserburgh
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Buckie Thistle
2:2
Dec 14, 2024 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Buckie Thistle
1:1
Aug 7, 2024 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Fraserburgh
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraserburgh 74 / 100
Buckie Thistle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraserburgh Buckie Thistle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fraserburgh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buckie Thistle lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Fraserburgh found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Buckie Thistle let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Fraserburgh VS Buckie Thistle
1.13 Goals Scored 1
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraserburgh

(Home)
10 Oct
Fraserburgh
2 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
07 Oct
Banks O' Dee
1 : 3
Fraserburgh
03 Oct
Caledonian Braves
4 : 0
Fraserburgh
26 Sept
Fraserburgh
4 : 3
Stirling
22 Sept
Fraserburgh
0 : 5
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Buckie Thistle

(Away)
10 Oct
Clachnacuddin
3 : 0
Buckie Thistle
07 Oct
Buckie Thistle
2 : 4
Lossiemouth
03 Oct
Brechin
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3
Nairn County
16 Sept
Forres Mechanics
2 : 1
Buckie Thistle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 13 11 2 0 53:12 35
2 Inverurie Loco Works 14 8 5 1 28:18 29
3 Formartine Utd 13 7 4 2 25:17 25
4 Fraserburgh 12 7 3 2 27:11 24
5 Clachnacuddin 12 5 5 2 28:11 20
6 Strathspey Thistle 14 6 2 6 26:19 20
7 Forres Mechanics 13 6 2 5 23:20 20
8 Buckie Thistle 12 6 1 5 32:20 19
9 Banks O' Dee 13 5 4 4 29:27 19
10 Huntly 13 5 3 5 26:21 18
11 Nairn County 13 4 5 4 19:21 17
12 Lossiemouth 13 5 2 6 20:28 17
13 Turriff United 13 5 1 7 16:18 16
14 Keith 13 4 3 6 19:29 15
15 Deveronvale 13 3 3 7 17:22 12
16 Invergordon 13 3 1 9 15:36 10
17 Wick Academy 13 2 0 11 11:38 6
18 Rothes 12 1 0 11 9:55 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)