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Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Oppong E.
Assist: White J.
33' Event
Mahoney M.
Own Goal
49' Event
White J.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-5. The second leg ended 0-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fraserburgh
15%
Draws
34%
Cove Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fraserburgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Fraserburgh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Fraserburgh have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cove Rangers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cove Rangers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 10%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraserburgh Cove Rangers
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Challenge Cup
Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers
0:5
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Cove Rangers vs Fraserburgh
1:0
Dec 1, 2018 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers
1:0
Aug 4, 2018 Highland League
Cove Rangers vs Fraserburgh
2:0
Apr 11, 2018 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fraserburgh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cove Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Oppong E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oladipo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraserburgh 30 / 100
Cove Rangers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraserburgh Cove Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cove Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fraserburgh's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Cove Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Fraserburgh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fraserburgh VS Cove Rangers
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraserburgh

(Home)
07 Oct
Banks O' Dee
1 : 3
Fraserburgh
03 Oct
Caledonian Braves
4 : 0
Fraserburgh
26 Sept
Fraserburgh
4 : 3
Stirling
22 Sept
Fraserburgh
0 : 5
Cove Rangers
19 Sept
Wick Academy
2 : 3
Fraserburgh
Page 1 of 6

Cove Rangers

(Away)
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
22 Sept
Fraserburgh
0 : 5
Cove Rangers
19 Sept
Cove Rangers
0 : 2
Ross County
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)