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Fraserburgh vs Keith

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Highland League 2025/2026 game between Fraserburgh and Keith finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fraserburgh
22%
Draws
18%
Keith
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fraserburgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fraserburgh come out ahead of Keith on wins alone.
  • Fraserburgh are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 16%
Keith Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraserburgh Keith
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Keith
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Fraserburgh
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Fraserburgh
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Keith
4:0
Dec 30, 2023 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Keith
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraserburgh 57 / 100
Keith 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraserburgh Keith

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fraserburgh found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Fraserburgh went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Keith's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Fraserburgh VS Keith
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brora Rangers34236597:3575
2Brechin34235678:2374
3Formartine Utd342011365:2771
4Fraserburgh34215875:3968
5Clachnacuddin34187978:4061
6Banks O' Dee341610858:3558
7Keith341771052:4758
8Buckie Thistle341651362:4753
9Nairn County341541556:5249
10Turriff United341391260:5048
11Huntly3411101346:4343
12Forres Mechanics341171652:6740
13Strathspey Thistle341321949:8338
14Deveronvale341141946:8737
15Inverurie Loco Works34961947:6630
16Wick Academy34772042:6528
17Lossiemouth34452520:7617
18Rothes34142933:1347