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Fraserburgh vs Keith

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Highland League 2025/2026 game between Fraserburgh and Keith finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Fraserburgh
30%
Draws
52%
Keith
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Keith come out ahead of Fraserburgh on wins alone.
  • Keith are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 16%
Keith Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraserburgh Keith
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.89 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Keith
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Keith
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Fraserburgh
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Fraserburgh
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Keith
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraserburgh 11 / 100
Keith 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraserburgh Keith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keith Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fraserburgh found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Keith let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Fraserburgh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fraserburgh VS Keith
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraserburgh

(Home)
16 Sept
Fraserburgh
1 : 1
Formartine Utd
08 Sept
Elgin City
7 : 0
Fraserburgh
05 Sept
Deveronvale
3 : 1
Fraserburgh
29 Aug
Fraserburgh
2 : 2
Clachnacuddin
25 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 1
Aberdeen B
Page 1 of 6

Keith

(Away)
16 Sept
Banks O' Dee
4 : 1
Keith
12 Sept
Keith
2 : 0
Deveronvale
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
29 Aug
Keith
4 : 1
Wick Academy
22 Aug
Formartine Utd
4 : 1
Keith
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 34 23 6 5 97:35 75
2 Brechin 34 23 5 6 78:23 74
3 Formartine Utd 34 20 11 3 65:27 71
4 Fraserburgh 34 21 5 8 75:39 68
5 Clachnacuddin 34 18 7 9 78:40 61
6 Banks O' Dee 34 16 10 8 58:35 58
7 Keith 34 17 7 10 52:47 58
8 Buckie Thistle 34 16 5 13 62:47 53
9 Nairn County 34 15 4 15 56:52 49
10 Turriff United 34 13 9 12 60:50 48
11 Huntly 34 11 10 13 46:43 43
12 Forres Mechanics 34 11 7 16 52:67 40
13 Strathspey Thistle 34 13 2 19 49:83 38
14 Deveronvale 34 11 4 19 46:87 37
15 Inverurie Loco Works 34 9 6 19 47:66 30
16 Wick Academy 34 7 7 20 42:65 28
17 Lossiemouth 34 4 5 25 20:76 17
18 Rothes 34 1 4 29 33:134 7
Promotion - Highland League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)