Sport Picks

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Fraserburgh vs Keith

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Sargent R.
Assist: Sim W.

AI Match Summary

Fraserburgh in this Highland League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fraserburgh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Fraserburgh
30%
Draws
14%
Keith
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fraserburgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Fraserburgh average 1.93 goals a game right now, well clear of Keith's 1.76.
  • Fraserburgh are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 68%
Keith Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraserburgh Keith
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.93 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Keith
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Keith
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Fraserburgh
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Fraserburgh
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Keith
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fraserburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Sargent R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Keith Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraserburgh 95 / 100
Keith 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraserburgh Keith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fraserburgh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fraserburgh scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Keith conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Fraserburgh remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fraserburgh VS Keith
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraserburgh

(Home)
15 Aug
Fraserburgh
2 : 0
Nairn County
11 Aug
Montrose
2 : 0
Fraserburgh
08 Aug
Forres Mechanics
0 : 2
Fraserburgh
05 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 0
Keith
01 Aug
Rothes
0 : 7
Fraserburgh
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Keith

(Away)
15 Aug
Clachnacuddin
1 : 1
Keith
08 Aug
Keith
2 : 2
Lossiemouth
05 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 0
Keith
01 Aug
Keith
1 : 1
Nairn County
25 Jul
Forres Mechanics
5 : 1
Keith
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