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Fraserburgh vs Strathspey Thistle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fraserburgh host Strathspey Thistle in the Highland League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Strathspey Thistle have shipped 1.9 goals a game lately, while Fraserburgh have conceded 1.53 and scored 2.03. Past meetings favor Fraserburgh slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.75, favoring Fraserburgh. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Fraserburgh
15%
Draws
42%
Strathspey Thistle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fraserburgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Strathspey Thistle haven't matched Fraserburgh's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Strathspey Thistle's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fraserburgh have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 10%
Strathspey Thistle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraserburgh Strathspey Thistle
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Highland League
Strathspey Thistle vs Fraserburgh
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Strathspey Thistle
4:1
Mar 29, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Strathspey Thistle
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 Highland League
Strathspey Thistle vs Fraserburgh
2:2
Apr 20, 2024 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Strathspey Thistle
11:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraserburgh 18 / 100
Strathspey Thistle 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraserburgh Strathspey Thistle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strathspey Thistle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Strathspey Thistle conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Fraserburgh scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Fraserburgh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fraserburgh VS Strathspey Thistle
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraserburgh

(Home)
07 Oct
Banks O' Dee
1 : 3
Fraserburgh
03 Oct
Caledonian Braves
4 : 0
Fraserburgh
26 Sept
Fraserburgh
4 : 3
Stirling
22 Sept
Fraserburgh
0 : 5
Cove Rangers
19 Sept
Wick Academy
2 : 3
Fraserburgh
Page 1 of 6

Strathspey Thistle

(Away)
07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
03 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
3 : 2
Dalbeattie Star
25 Sept
Strathspey Thistle
0 : 1
Forres Mechanics
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
16 Sept
Strathspey Thistle
7 : 1
Rothes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 13 11 2 0 53:12 35
2 Inverurie Loco Works 14 8 5 1 28:18 29
3 Formartine Utd 13 7 4 2 25:17 25
4 Fraserburgh 12 7 3 2 27:11 24
5 Clachnacuddin 12 5 5 2 28:11 20
6 Strathspey Thistle 14 6 2 6 26:19 20
7 Forres Mechanics 13 6 2 5 23:20 20
8 Buckie Thistle 12 6 1 5 32:20 19
9 Banks O' Dee 13 5 4 4 29:27 19
10 Huntly 13 5 3 5 26:21 18
11 Nairn County 13 4 5 4 19:21 17
12 Lossiemouth 13 5 2 6 20:28 17
13 Turriff United 13 5 1 7 16:18 16
14 Keith 13 4 3 6 19:29 15
15 Deveronvale 13 3 3 7 17:22 12
16 Invergordon 13 3 1 9 15:36 10
17 Wick Academy 13 2 0 11 11:38 6
18 Rothes 12 1 0 11 9:55 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)