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Fratria II vs Aksakovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fratria II play Aksakovo in the Third League - North-East. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fratria II averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Aksakovo averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Fratria II won 0, Aksakovo won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Fratria II and 1.56 for Aksakovo. This points to a Aksakovo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fratria II
19%
Draws
45%
Aksakovo
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Aksakovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Fratria II picked up more points recently compared to Aksakovo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Fratria II Clean Sheet 15%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria II Aksakovo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.27 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Fratria II
3:1
Nov 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Aksakovo
1:1
May 18, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Fratria II
5:2
Nov 17, 2024 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Aksakovo
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria II 35 / 100
Aksakovo 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria II Aksakovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aksakovo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fratria II attacking → ← attacking Aksakovo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria II scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Aksakovo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Fratria II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Aksakovo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 31
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291