Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fratria II vs Botev Novi Pazar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fratria II in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fratria II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fratria II
33%
Draws
40%
Botev Novi Pazar
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Botev Novi Pazar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Botev Novi Pazar at 1.75 per game, Fratria II at 1.5.
  • Win probability leans Botev Novi Pazar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fratria II Clean Sheet 11%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria II Botev Novi Pazar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Fratria II
3:3
Mar 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Fratria II
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria II 27 / 100
Botev Novi Pazar 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria II Botev Novi Pazar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Novi Pazar has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Fratria II scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Botev Novi Pazar registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fratria II VS Botev Novi Pazar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291