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Fratria II vs Ludogorets III - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fratria II host Ludogorets III in the Third League - North-East. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ludogorets III have shipped 0.61 goals a game lately, while Fratria II have conceded 2.69 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Fratria II have won 0 to Ludogorets III's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 2.56) point toward Ludogorets III. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fratria II
15%
Draws
49%
Ludogorets III
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ludogorets III lately — more wins on the board than Fratria II.
  • Ludogorets III are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ludogorets III have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Fratria II Clean Sheet 10%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria II Ludogorets III
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 23
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.21 3.25
Goals Conceded 2.69 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Ludogorets III
0:4
Aug 27, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Fratria II
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Ludogorets III
0:1
Sep 27, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Fratria II
10:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria II 10 / 100
Ludogorets III 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria II Ludogorets III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets III Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Fratria II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fratria II found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ludogorets III conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fratria II VS Ludogorets III
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria II

(Home)
17 Oct
Fratria II
1 : 2
Ustrem Donchevo
03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2
Fratria II
26 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 0
Devnya 2005
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
12 Sept
Fratria II
2 : 1
Benkovski
Page 1 of 6

Ludogorets III

(Away)
17 Oct
Devnya 2005
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
10 Oct
Ludogorets III
3 : 0
Septemvri Tervel
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Volov Shumen 9 6 1 2 27:9 19
3 Svetkavitsa 2014 10 6 1 3 17:11 19
4 Chernolomets 9 5 3 1 21:7 18
5 Chernomorets Balchik 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
6 Benkovski 7 4 1 2 16:11 13
7 Septemvri Tervel 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
8 Devnya 2005 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
9 Cherno More II 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
10 Septemvri Dragoevo 9 3 2 4 13:19 11
11 FK Riltzi 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
12 Botev Novi Pazar 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
13 Olympic Varna 9 3 0 6 16:24 9
14 Fratria II 9 3 0 6 10:26 9
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 10 2 1 7 19:30 7
17 Dorostol 8 0 0 8 5:23 0
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