Sport Picks
Fratria II vs Ustrem Donchevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Fratria II host Ustrem Donchevo in the Third League - North-East. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ustrem Donchevo have shipped 2.1 goals a game lately, while Fratria II have conceded 2.69 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Fratria II have won 0 to Ustrem Donchevo's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 5:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 2.88) point toward Ustrem Donchevo. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Ustrem Donchevo lately — more wins on the board than Fratria II.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Ustrem Donchevo have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fratria II | Ustrem Donchevo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.69 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ustrem Donchevo let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Fratria II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Ustrem Donchevo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fratria II
(Home)Ustrem Donchevo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Volov Shumen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Chernolomets | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Balchik | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 14 |
| 6 | Septemvri Tervel | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Benkovski | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Cherno More II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:9 | 9 |
| 10 | FK Riltzi | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:24 | 9 |
| 12 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Devnya 2005 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Olympic Varna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:21 | 6 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:20 | 4 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:26 | 1 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:18 | 0 |