Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fratria vs Beroe

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
Fri, Aug 14, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fratria host Beroe in the Vtora liga. This one's hard to separate. Fratria have averaged 1.63 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Beroe's 1.38 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Beroe slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 14, 2024, ending 3:4. xG projections (1.63 - 1.19) back Fratria to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Fratria
39%
Draws
31%
Beroe
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Fratria have won more games recently than Beroe.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fratria Clean Sheet 20%
Beroe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria Beroe
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2024 Bulgarian Cup
Fratria vs Beroe
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 31 / 100
Beroe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria Beroe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Beroe conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Fratria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS Beroe
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
25 Jul
Fratria
0 : 1
Marek
10 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 1
Fratria
04 Jul
Gorna
1 : 2
Fratria
27 Jun
Farul Constanta
1 : 1
Fratria
23 May
Fratria
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6

Beroe

(Away)
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1
Hebar
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0
Zagorets
15 Jul
Beroe
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
12 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
4 : 0
Beroe
08 Jul
Beroe
6 : 0
Levski Karlovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Etar11005:13
2Dobrudzha11005:13
3Spartak Pleven11002:03
4Beroe11002:13
5Marek11001:03
6Ludogorets II11001:03
7Montana10102:21
8Svoge10102:21
9Vihren10101:11
10Gorna10101:11
11CSKA Sofia II10101:11
12Chernomorets 191910101:11
13Hebar10011:20
14Rilski Sportist10010:10
15Fratria10010:10
16Yantra Gabrovo10010:20
17Pirin Blagoevgrad10011:50
18Nesebar10011:50
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)