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Fratria vs Beroe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Mitev I.
46'
Sub
Kandoussi B. In: Atanasov G.
Out: Kandoussi B.
54'
Sub
Mihalev D. In: Isuf A.
Out: Mihalev D.

AI Match Summary

Fratria in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fratria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Fratria
15%
Draws
42%
Beroe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Fratria have won more games recently than Beroe.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Fratria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Fratria Clean Sheet 68%
Beroe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria Beroe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Beroe
2:0
Nov 14, 2024 Bulgarian Cup
Fratria vs Beroe
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kapitanov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Beroe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 50 / 100
Beroe 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria Beroe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Beroe conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Beroe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS Beroe
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
28 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Montana
18 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Botev Vratsa
09 Oct
Etar
2 : 0
Fratria
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 6

Beroe

(Away)
30 Oct
Gorna
2 : 0
Beroe
23 Oct
Beroe
3 : 1
Rilski Sportist
17 Oct
Beroe
0 : 3
Ludogorets
10 Oct
Marek
3 : 2
Beroe
04 Oct
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)