Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fratria vs Beroe

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Mitev I.
46'
Sub
Kandoussi B. In: Atanasov G.
Out: Kandoussi B.
54'
Sub
Mihalev D. In: Isuf A.
Out: Mihalev D.

AI Match Summary

Fratria in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fratria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Fratria
35%
Draws
26%
Beroe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Fratria have won more games recently than Beroe.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Fratria Clean Sheet 20%
Beroe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria Beroe
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 13 9
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Beroe
2:0
Nov 14, 2024 Bulgarian Cup
Fratria vs Beroe
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kapitanov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Beroe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 32 / 100
Beroe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria Beroe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Fratria remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Beroe let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS Beroe
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
24 Aug
Vihren
2 : 2
Fratria
14 Aug
Fratria
2 : 0
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

Beroe

(Away)
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0
Montana
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
25 Aug
Beroe
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
14 Aug
Fratria
2 : 0
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 8 5 3 0 19:8 18
2 Yantra Gabrovo 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
3 Fratria 8 4 3 1 11:6 15
4 Etar 8 4 2 2 14:11 14
5 CSKA Sofia II 8 4 2 2 15:8 14
6 Nesebar 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
7 Chernomorets 1919 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
8 Beroe 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
9 Montana 8 3 2 3 13:12 11
10 Ludogorets II 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Gorna 8 3 2 3 7:9 11
12 Spartak Pleven 8 3 1 4 10:16 10
13 Marek 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
14 Rilski Sportist 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
15 Hebar 8 2 2 4 14:16 8
16 Svoge 8 1 4 3 4:6 7
17 Dobrudzha 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 8 0 0 8 3:27 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)