Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fratria vs Chernomorets 1919

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Korablin T.
13' Event
Kolev K.
41'
Klimentov I.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Fratria and Chernomorets 1919 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fratria
35%
Draws
28%
Chernomorets 1919
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Chernomorets 1919 haven't matched Fratria's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fratria here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fratria Clean Sheet 20%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 14 10
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Chernomorets 1919
2:2
Nov 29, 2025 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Fratria
0:2
Jul 26, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Chernomorets 1919
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Korablin T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valkov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolev K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Drame Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 31 / 100
Chernomorets 1919 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria Chernomorets 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Fratria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Chernomorets 1919 conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS Chernomorets 1919
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
24 Aug
Vihren
2 : 2
Fratria
14 Aug
Fratria
2 : 0
Beroe
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Chernomorets 1919

(Away)
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
29 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
23 Aug
Hebar
1 : 0
Chernomorets 1919
17 Aug
Chernomorets 1919
0 : 1
CSKA Sofia II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 9 6 3 0 21:8 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 9 5 2 2 19:8 17
3 Fratria 9 4 4 1 12:7 16
4 Yantra Gabrovo 9 5 1 3 12:9 16
5 Chernomorets 1919 9 4 3 2 12:6 15
6 Beroe 9 4 3 2 12:8 15
7 Etar 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
8 Nesebar 9 4 2 3 16:12 14
9 Marek 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
10 Ludogorets II 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
11 Rilski Sportist 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
12 Gorna 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
13 Hebar 9 3 2 4 18:17 11
14 Montana 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
15 Spartak Pleven 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
16 Svoge 9 1 4 4 4:7 7
17 Dobrudzha 9 1 3 5 9:14 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 9 0 0 9 3:30 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)