Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fratria vs Chernomorets 1919 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Korablin T.
13' Event
Kolev K.
41'
Klimentov I.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Fratria and Chernomorets 1919 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Fratria
15%
Draws
53%
Chernomorets 1919
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fratria haven't matched Chernomorets 1919's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Fratria taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fratria here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fratria Clean Sheet 13%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.67 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Chernomorets 1919
2:2
Nov 29, 2025 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Fratria
0:2
Jul 26, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Chernomorets 1919
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Korablin T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valkov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolev K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Drame Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 35 / 100
Chernomorets 1919 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria Chernomorets 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Chernomorets 1919 let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Fratria remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS Chernomorets 1919
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
28 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Montana
18 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Botev Vratsa
09 Oct
Etar
2 : 0
Fratria
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 6

Chernomorets 1919

(Away)
31 Oct
Nesebar
1 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
23 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 1
Svoge
18 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
0 : 4
Botev Plovdiv
10 Oct
Dobrudzha
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)