Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Iliev I. In: Tanev S.
Out: Iliev I.
46'
Sub
Kandoussi B. In: Yanakov D.
Out: Kandoussi B.
60'
Sub
Atanasov G. In: Angelov D.
Out: Atanasov G.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Fratria and CSKA Sofia II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fratria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fratria
35%
Draws
28%
CSKA Sofia II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fratria are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fratria Clean Sheet 17%
CSKA Sofia II Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria CSKA Sofia II
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 13 6
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.59 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II
2:2
Oct 24, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Fratria
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Fratria
4:1
Aug 12, 2024 Vtora liga
Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CSKA Sofia II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 57 / 100
CSKA Sofia II 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria CSKA Sofia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fratria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: CSKA Sofia II conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS CSKA Sofia II
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
24 Aug
Vihren
2 : 2
Fratria
14 Aug
Fratria
2 : 0
Beroe
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CSKA Sofia II

(Away)
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
5 : 1
Spartak Pleven
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
25 Aug
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 1
Ludogorets II
17 Aug
Chernomorets 1919
0 : 1
CSKA Sofia II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 8 5 3 0 19:8 18
2 Yantra Gabrovo 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
3 Fratria 8 4 3 1 11:6 15
4 Etar 8 4 2 2 14:11 14
5 CSKA Sofia II 8 4 2 2 15:8 14
6 Nesebar 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
7 Chernomorets 1919 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
8 Beroe 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
9 Montana 8 3 2 3 13:12 11
10 Ludogorets II 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Gorna 8 3 2 3 7:9 11
12 Spartak Pleven 8 3 1 4 10:16 10
13 Marek 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
14 Rilski Sportist 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
15 Hebar 8 2 2 4 14:16 8
16 Svoge 8 1 4 3 4:6 7
17 Dobrudzha 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 8 0 0 8 3:27 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)