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Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Iliev I. In: Tanev S.
Out: Iliev I.
46'
Sub
Kandoussi B. In: Yanakov D.
Out: Kandoussi B.
60'
Sub
Atanasov G. In: Angelov D.
Out: Atanasov G.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Fratria and CSKA Sofia II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fratria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fratria
20%
Draws
52%
CSKA Sofia II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Sofia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CSKA Sofia II are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fratria Clean Sheet 12%
CSKA Sofia II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria CSKA Sofia II
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II
2:2
Oct 24, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Fratria
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Fratria
4:1
Aug 12, 2024 Vtora liga
Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CSKA Sofia II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 22 / 100
CSKA Sofia II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria CSKA Sofia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

CSKA Sofia II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Fratria remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS CSKA Sofia II
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
28 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Montana
18 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Botev Vratsa
09 Oct
Etar
2 : 0
Fratria
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 6

CSKA Sofia II

(Away)
30 Oct
Marek
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
23 Oct
CSKA Sofia II
3 : 3
Yantra Gabrovo
10 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
21 Sept
Dobrudzha
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)