Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Albena Stadium, Albena
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kaymakanov V.
17'
Isuf A.
17' Event
Marinov M.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Fratria and CSKA Sofia II finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Fratria
39%
Draws
31%
CSKA Sofia II
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and CSKA Sofia II have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Fratria Clean Sheet 14%
CSKA Sofia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria CSKA Sofia II
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 16
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II
2:2
Oct 24, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Fratria
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Fratria
4:1
Aug 12, 2024 Vtora liga
Fratria vs CSKA Sofia II
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Marinov M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

CSKA Sofia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaymakanov V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Papazov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 30 / 100
CSKA Sofia II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria CSKA Sofia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Fratria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

CSKA Sofia II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS CSKA Sofia II
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
10 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 1
Fratria
04 Jul
Gorna
1 : 2
Fratria
27 Jun
Farul Constanta
1 : 1
Fratria
23 May
Fratria
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
15 May
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 3
Fratria
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CSKA Sofia II

(Away)
11 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia II
01 Jul
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 1
Montana
27 Jun
CSKA Sofia II
2 : 1
Svoge
23 May
Gorna
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
11 May
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
CSKA Sofia II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dunav Ruse32209353:1669
2Yantra Gabrovo321810445:2464
3Fratria32189561:2963
4Vihren32177859:3458
5CSKA Sofia II32167957:3255
6Chernomorets 1919321113838:3246
7Etar3211111039:4344
8Ludogorets II321181341:4341
9Marek3210111127:3541
10Hebar321171441:5140
11Pirin Blagoevgrad329111238:4138
12Spartak Pleven32981537:4535
13Svoge32971628:4834
14Gorna32891533:5233
15Sevlievo32951829:5232
16Minyor Pernik32791632:4530
17Belasitsa Petrich32472126:6219
Promotion - efbet League (Main)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)