Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Albena Stadium

Fratria

2 - 2

Dunav Ruse

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Boychev K.

38'

Boychev K.

45'

Sub

Kadir D. In: Kapitanov I.

Out: Kadir D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Fratria and Dunav Ruse finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Fratria

Draws

Dunav Ruse

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Dunav Ruse come out ahead of Fratria on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Fratria taking it.
Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Dunav Ruse here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Fratria Clean Sheet 68%

Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fratria	Dunav Ruse
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	11
Draws	11	11
Losses	7	6
Goals Scored	1.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Vtora liga

Fratria vs Dunav Ruse

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 0 - 4

2:2

Nov 10, 2025 Vtora liga

Dunav Ruse vs Fratria

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

May 17, 2025 Vtora liga

Dunav Ruse vs Fratria

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

4:0

Nov 23, 2024 Vtora liga

Fratria vs Dunav Ruse

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Brikner I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Dunav Ruse Compare

Top Goalscorer Boychev K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Keita I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 95 / 100

Dunav Ruse 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fratria Dunav Ruse

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fratria scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Fratria has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dunav Ruse has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS Dunav Ruse

1.88 Goals Scored 1.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dunav Ruse	32	20	9	3	53:16	69
2	Yantra Gabrovo	32	18	10	4	45:24	64
3	Fratria	32	18	9	5	61:29	63
4	Vihren	32	17	7	8	59:34	58
5	CSKA Sofia II	32	16	7	9	57:32	55
6	Chernomorets 1919	32	11	13	8	38:32	46
7	Etar	32	11	11	10	39:43	44
8	Ludogorets II	32	11	8	13	41:43	41
9	Marek	32	10	11	11	27:35	41
10	Hebar	32	11	7	14	41:51	40
11	Pirin Blagoevgrad	32	9	11	12	38:41	38
12	Spartak Pleven	32	9	8	15	37:45	35
13	Svoge	32	9	7	16	28:48	34
14	Gorna	32	8	9	15	33:52	33
15	Sevlievo	32	9	5	18	29:52	32
16	Minyor Pernik	32	7	9	16	32:45	30
17	Belasitsa Petrich	32	4	7	21	26:62	19