Sport Picks
Fratria vs Minyor Pernik Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Vtora liga 2025/2026 Albena Stadium, Albena 
Match Events
31'
31'
Rumenov R.
46'
46'
Sub
Petrov V. In: Bemanga K.
Out: Petrov V.
46'
46'
Sub
Dotsev V. In: Awakhria W.
Out: Dotsev V.
AI Match Summary
The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Fratria and Minyor Pernik finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fratria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Minyor Pernik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Fratria carry the better recent record into this one.
- Fratria are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Fratria have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Fratria Clean Sheet 68%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fratria | Minyor Pernik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Minyor Pernik
3:1
Sep 21, 2025 Vtora liga
Minyor Pernik vs Fratria
2:3
Apr 2, 2025 Vtora liga
Minyor Pernik vs Fratria
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Minyor Pernik
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fratria Compare
Top Goalscorer Rumenov R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marinov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Minyor Pernik Compare
Top Goalscorer Bemanga K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fratria 50 / 100
Minyor Pernik 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fratria Minyor Pernik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fratria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fratria scored in 96% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Fratria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Minyor Pernik let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Fratria VS Minyor Pernik
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fratria
(Home) 03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3 Fratria
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0 Spartak Pleven
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2 Fratria
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1 Fratria
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2 Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0 Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2 Chernomorets 1919
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0 CSKA Sofia II
14 Aug
Fratria
2 : 0 Beroe
01 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0 Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 3
Minyor Pernik
(Away) 04 Oct
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2 Beroe
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0 Kyustendil
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2 Strumska Slava
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
29 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 : 0 Minyor Pernik
08 Aug
Pirin Razlog
0 : 3 Minyor Pernik
15 May
Vihren
3 : 0 Minyor Pernik
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunav Ruse | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 53:16 | 69 |
| 2 | Yantra Gabrovo | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 45:24 | 64 |
| 3 | Fratria | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 61:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Vihren | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 59:34 | 58 |
| 5 | CSKA Sofia II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 57:32 | 55 |
| 6 | Chernomorets 1919 | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 38:32 | 46 |
| 7 | Etar | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:43 | 44 |
| 8 | Ludogorets II | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 41:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Marek | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 27:35 | 41 |
| 10 | Hebar | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 41:51 | 40 |
| 11 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 38:41 | 38 |
| 12 | Spartak Pleven | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 37:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Svoge | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 28:48 | 34 |
| 14 | Gorna | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33:52 | 33 |
| 15 | Sevlievo | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 29:52 | 32 |
| 16 | Minyor Pernik | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32:45 | 30 |
| 17 | Belasitsa Petrich | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26:62 | 19 |
Promotion - efbet League (Main)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
