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Freamunde vs Alianca de Gandra

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 game between Freamunde and Alianca de Gandra finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianca de Gandra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Freamunde
20%
Draws
48%
Alianca de Gandra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alianca de Gandra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianca de Gandra come out ahead of Freamunde on wins alone.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Freamunde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Freamunde Clean Sheet 68%
Alianca de Gandra Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freamunde Alianca de Gandra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.77 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Freamunde vs Alianca de Gandra
0:1
Sep 30, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Alianca de Gandra vs Freamunde
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freamunde 77 / 100
Alianca de Gandra 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freamunde Alianca de Gandra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freamunde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianca de Gandra has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Alianca de Gandra lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Freamunde's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Freamunde VS Alianca de Gandra
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Freamunde

(Home)
11 Sept
Freamunde
2 : 3
GD Joane
08 Aug
Freamunde
0 : 3
Leixoes
22 Apr
Freamunde
0 : 0
Amarante FC
15 Apr
Sanjoanense
4 : 2
Freamunde
08 Apr
Freamunde
1 : 1
Pedras Rubras
Page 1 of 6

Alianca de Gandra

(Away)
22 Sept
Gondomar
1 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
08 Sept
Alianca de Gandra
2 : 1
SC Salgueiros
15 Aug
Leca
4 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
22 Apr
Alianca de Gandra
0 : 1
Canelas 2010
15 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 0
Alianca de Gandra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 30 16 8 6 53:28 56
2 SC Espinho 30 15 9 6 50:30 54
3 Gondomar 30 13 10 7 43:29 49
4 FC Cesarense 30 11 15 4 44:26 48
5 Cinfaes 30 13 6 11 39:40 45
6 Amarante FC 30 12 9 9 42:33 45
7 Sanjoanense 30 10 12 8 35:30 42
8 Pedras Rubras 30 11 9 10 36:32 42
9 Trofense 30 12 6 12 34:35 42
10 Coimbroes 30 11 8 11 40:46 41
11 Canelas 2010 30 11 8 11 45:44 41
12 SC Salgueiros 30 7 14 9 30:34 35
13 Camacha 30 10 4 16 33:47 34
14 Alianca de Gandra 30 8 5 17 24:47 29
15 Freamunde 30 6 10 14 26:31 28
16 Sousense 30 6 3 21 19:61 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)