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Freamunde vs Amarante FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Freamunde
35%
Draws
46%
Amarante FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Freamunde haven't matched Amarante FC's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Amarante FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Freamunde Clean Sheet 18%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freamunde Amarante FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.77 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Freamunde vs Amarante FC
0:0
Jan 7, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Amarante FC vs Freamunde
2:0
Jan 12, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Freamunde vs Amarante FC
1:1
Oct 27, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Amarante FC vs Freamunde
1:2
Sep 1, 2013 Taça de Portugal
Amarante FC vs Freamunde
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freamunde 28 / 100
Amarante FC 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freamunde Amarante FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarante FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Amarante FC conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Freamunde found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Freamunde went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amarante FC
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Freamunde

(Home)
11 Sept
Freamunde
2 : 3
GD Joane
08 Aug
Freamunde
0 : 3
Leixoes
22 Apr
Freamunde
0 : 0
Amarante FC
15 Apr
Sanjoanense
4 : 2
Freamunde
08 Apr
Freamunde
1 : 1
Pedras Rubras
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Amarante FC

(Away)
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
16 Aug
Amarante FC
0 : 1
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 30 16 8 6 53:28 56
2 SC Espinho 30 15 9 6 50:30 54
3 Gondomar 30 13 10 7 43:29 49
4 FC Cesarense 30 11 15 4 44:26 48
5 Cinfaes 30 13 6 11 39:40 45
6 Amarante FC 30 12 9 9 42:33 45
7 Sanjoanense 30 10 12 8 35:30 42
8 Pedras Rubras 30 11 9 10 36:32 42
9 Trofense 30 12 6 12 34:35 42
10 Coimbroes 30 11 8 11 40:46 41
11 Canelas 2010 30 11 8 11 45:44 41
12 SC Salgueiros 30 7 14 9 30:34 35
13 Camacha 30 10 4 16 33:47 34
14 Alianca de Gandra 30 8 5 17 24:47 29
15 Freamunde 30 6 10 14 26:31 28
16 Sousense 30 6 3 21 19:61 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)