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Freamunde vs Trofense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018
Freamunde Logo

Freamunde

0 - 1
FT
Trofense Logo

Trofense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 game between Freamunde and Trofense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trofense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Freamunde
20%
Draws
48%
Trofense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trofense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Freamunde haven't matched Trofense's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Freamunde taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Freamunde Clean Sheet 20%
Trofense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freamunde Trofense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.77 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Freamunde vs Trofense
0:1
Sep 17, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Trofense vs Freamunde
1:0
May 17, 2015 Liga Portugal 2
Trofense vs Freamunde
2:1
Jan 11, 2015 Liga Portugal 2
Freamunde vs Trofense
3:0
Apr 7, 2013 Liga Portugal 2
Freamunde vs Trofense
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freamunde 42 / 100
Trofense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freamunde Trofense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trofense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Trofense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Freamunde scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trofense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Freamunde

(Home)
11 Sept
Freamunde
2 : 3
GD Joane
08 Aug
Freamunde
0 : 3
Leixoes
22 Apr
Freamunde
0 : 0
Amarante FC
15 Apr
Sanjoanense
4 : 2
Freamunde
08 Apr
Freamunde
1 : 1
Pedras Rubras
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Trofense

(Away)
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1
Trofense
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
15 Aug
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Trofense
09 Aug
Trofense
0 : 1
Varzim
01 Aug
Trofense
0 : 1
SC Salgueiros
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 30 16 8 6 53:28 56
2 SC Espinho 30 15 9 6 50:30 54
3 Gondomar 30 13 10 7 43:29 49
4 FC Cesarense 30 11 15 4 44:26 48
5 Cinfaes 30 13 6 11 39:40 45
6 Amarante FC 30 12 9 9 42:33 45
7 Sanjoanense 30 10 12 8 35:30 42
8 Pedras Rubras 30 11 9 10 36:32 42
9 Trofense 30 12 6 12 34:35 42
10 Coimbroes 30 11 8 11 40:46 41
11 Canelas 2010 30 11 8 11 45:44 41
12 SC Salgueiros 30 7 14 9 30:34 35
13 Camacha 30 10 4 16 33:47 34
14 Alianca de Gandra 30 8 5 17 24:47 29
15 Freamunde 30 6 10 14 26:31 28
16 Sousense 30 6 3 21 19:61 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)