Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frechen vs Bergisch Gladbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between Frechen and Bergisch Gladbach finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergisch Gladbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Frechen
28%
Draws
22%
Bergisch Gladbach
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Frechen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bergisch Gladbach come out ahead of Frechen on wins alone.
  • Frechen are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bergisch Gladbach here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Frechen Clean Sheet 10%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frechen Bergisch Gladbach
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 2 6
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 2.43 4.13
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.43 4.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.29 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Frechen
4:1
Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Bergisch Gladbach
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Frechen
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Bergisch Gladbach
0:4
Mar 10, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Bergisch Gladbach
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frechen 47 / 100
Bergisch Gladbach 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frechen Bergisch Gladbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frechen's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Bergisch Gladbach conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Frechen has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Frechen VS Bergisch Gladbach
2.43 Goals Scored 4.13
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 88%
71% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Frechen

(Home)
01 Aug
FC Monheim
5 : 0
Frechen
07 Jun
Frechen
7 : 1
Teutonia Weiden
31 May
SpVg Porz 1919
1 : 4
Frechen
25 May
Frechen
2 : 4
FC Wegberg-Beeck
17 May
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 1
Frechen
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Bergisch Gladbach

(Away)
01 Aug
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 1
SG Wattenscheid
26 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 1
Juchen-Garzweiler
23 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
0 : 8
1. FC Koln
17 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 1
Hilden
11 Jul
Germania Ratingen
2 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)