Sport Picks

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Frechen vs Siegburger

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Frechen host Siegburger in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Frechen have averaged 2.19 scored and 1.97 conceded recently, against Siegburger's 2.26 scored and 1.39 conceded. Past meetings favor Frechen slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.38 - 2.13) back Siegburger to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Frechen
15%
Draws
46%
Siegburger
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siegburger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Siegburger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Frechen a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Frechen Clean Sheet 10%
Siegburger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frechen Siegburger
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 18
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 2.19 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Frechen
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Siegburger
2:3
Jun 15, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Siegburger
4:1
Feb 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Siegburger vs Frechen
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Frechen
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frechen 65 / 100
Siegburger 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frechen Siegburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frechen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Frechen scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Siegburger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Frechen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Frechen VS Siegburger
2.63 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Frechen

(Home)
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
3 : 1
Frechen
30 Aug
Frechen
4 : 0
Chlodwig Zulpich
01 Aug
FC Monheim
5 : 0
Frechen
07 Jun
Frechen
7 : 1
Teutonia Weiden
Page 1 of 7

Siegburger

(Away)
13 Sept
Siegburger
2 : 2
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
06 Sept
Chlodwig Zulpich
5 : 2
Siegburger
30 Aug
Siegburger
2 : 0
Merten
26 Jul
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
6 : 1
Siegburger
19 Jul
FC Monheim
2 : 3
Siegburger
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 3 2 1 0 11:1 7
2 FC Wegberg-Beeck 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
3 Fortuna Koln II 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
4 VfL Vichttal 3 1 2 0 10:6 5
5 FC Hurth 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
6 Merten 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
7 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
8 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
9 Siegburger 3 1 1 1 6:7 4
10 1. FC Duren 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
11 Hennef 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Bornheim 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
13 Frechen 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
14 Chlodwig Zulpich 3 1 0 2 5:11 3
15 SpVg Porz 1919 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
16 Konigsdorf 3 0 0 3 2:18 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)