Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredensborg vs Helsingor

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Aaquist M.
16' Event
Helsted M. K.
31' Event
Helsted M. K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Helsingor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Fredensborg
20%
Draws
51%
Helsingor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Helsingor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Helsingor come out ahead of Fredensborg on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Helsingor arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Helsingor, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 17%
Helsingor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredensborg Helsingor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.7 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2016 Betano Pokalen
Fredensborg vs Helsingor
0:4
Sep 23, 2015 Betano Pokalen
Fredensborg vs Helsingor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredensborg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Helsingor Compare

Top Goalscorer Aaquist M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Helsted M. K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredensborg 31 / 100
Helsingor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredensborg Helsingor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Helsingor conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Fredensborg scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Fredensborg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Helsingor
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredensborg

(Home)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
Page 1 of 6

Helsingor

(Away)
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
13 Sept
Helsingor
2 : 1
Sundby
04 Sept
Bronshoj
2 : 1
Helsingor
28 Aug
Helsingor
1 : 0
Ishoj IF
25 Aug
Helsingor
2 : 5
Horsholm-Usserod
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Vendsyssel FF 9
Birkelse 0
Ringkobing 0
Hobro 2
Vejle 3
Tjaereborg IF 1
TBD -
Odense -
Viborg -
TBD -
Naesby 1
OKS Odense 2
Dollefjelde-Musse 3
Horslunde 2
Karlslunde 0
Koge 2
Roskilde 4
Maribo BK 0
BSF 1
Skovshoved 4
Brabrand 6
Young Boys FD 2
Svendborg 1
Fredericia 4
Nordsjaelland -
TBD -
Fremad Valby 2
Tarnby FF 3
Nykobing 4
Herlufsholm 0
TBD -
Naestved IF -
Aarhus -
TBD -
Thisted FC 1
Aalborg Freja 2
Dalum IF 6
Nr. Aaby IK 1
Nakskov 0
Holbaek 5
Helsingor 6
Christiania SC 2
Malov 0
Fredensborg 6
Lyseng 5
Holstebro 3
Tarm 1
Horsens 3
Boldklubben 1893 3
AB Tarnby 1
Jyderup 1
Roskilde KFUM 7
Flemlose Harby 2
Saedding/Guldager IF 1
Middelfart 0
Esbjerg 1
Jammerbugt 5
Norre Uttrup & Bouet 4
Marstal/Rise 0
Varde 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Brondby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bornholm 2
Taastrup 1
Vanlose 3
BK Frem 4
AB Copenhagen 2
FC Graesrodderne 1
Rosenhoj BK 1
Ledoje-Smorum 3
B 1908 3
Avedore 1
Arslev BK 0
Marienlyst 2
Sonderjyske -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Otterup 5
Morud 3
Herlev 2
Hvidovre IF 3
Hellerup 3
Gentofte-Vangede 2
Jaegersborg 0
Birkerod 2
Lystrup 3
Braedstrup 0
TBD -
Randers FC -
Aalborg -
TBD -
Saeby IF Skjold 0
Norresundby 3
Kolding IF 4
Boldklubben 1913 0
Aarhus Fremad 1
VSK Aarhus 2
Skive 4
Logstor IF 0
FC Sonderborg 0
Boldklubben 1909 1
Aabyhoj 2
Skanderborg 0
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Kjellerup 9
Christiansbjerg IF 0
Vatanspor 1
Odder 5
Frederiksvaerk 1
Bronshoj 0
TBD -
Lyngby -
Fremad Amager 2
Avarta 1
IF Foroyar 1
VB 1968 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
1/32-finals
Vendsyssel FF 2
Hobro 0
Vejle 0
Odense 4
Viborg 2
OKS Odense 0
Dollefjelde-Musse 0
Koge 3
Roskilde 3
Skovshoved 1
Brabrand 2
Fredericia 4
Nordsjaelland 4
Tarnby FF 1
Nykobing 2
Naestved IF 3
Aarhus 5
Aalborg Freja 0
Dalum IF 0
Holbaek 1
Helsingor 4
Fredensborg 0
Lyseng 1
Horsens 4
Boldklubben 1893 4
Roskilde KFUM 1
Flemlose Harby 0
Esbjerg 5
Jammerbugt 2
Varde 1
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Brondby -
TBD -
Bornholm 0
BK Frem 4
AB Copenhagen 7
Ledoje-Smorum 2
B 1908 1
Marienlyst 5
Sonderjyske -
TBD -
Otterup 0
Hvidovre IF 4
Hellerup 3
Birkerod 0
Lystrup 2
Randers FC 6
Aalborg 5
Norresundby 1
Kolding IF 3
VSK Aarhus 4
Skive 6
Boldklubben 1909 0
Aabyhoj 0
Silkeborg 9
Kjellerup 2
Odder 0
Frederiksvaerk 1
Lyngby 3
Fremad Amager 2
VB 1968 0
TBD -
Midtjylland -
1/16-finals
Vendsyssel FF 2
Odense 1
Viborg 1
Koge 2
Roskilde 2
Fredericia 1
Nordsjaelland 0
Naestved IF 1
Aarhus 3
Holbaek 1
Helsingor 0
Horsens 1
Boldklubben 1893 1
Esbjerg 0
Jammerbugt 1
FC Copenhagen 6
Brondby 2
BK Frem 1
AB Copenhagen 2
Marienlyst 3
Sonderjyske 2
Hvidovre IF 0
Hellerup 1
Randers FC 3
Aalborg 1
VSK Aarhus 0
Skive 1
Silkeborg 3
Kjellerup 4
Lyngby 3
Fremad Amager 1
Midtjylland 3
1/8-finals
Vendsyssel FF 4
Koge 0
Roskilde 2
Naestved IF 3
Aarhus 3
Horsens 1
Boldklubben 1893 0
FC Copenhagen 3
Brondby 4
Marienlyst 1
Sonderjyske 0
Randers FC 1
Aalborg 5
Silkeborg 0
Kjellerup 0
Midtjylland 3
Quarter-finals
Vendsyssel FF 2
Naestved IF 1
Aarhus 1
FC Copenhagen 2
Brondby 4
Randers FC 2
Aalborg 2
Midtjylland 3
Semi-finals
Vendsyssel FF 0
FC Copenhagen 2
Brondby 2
Midtjylland 1
Final
FC Copenhagen 3
Brondby 1