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Fredensborg vs Middelfart

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Johansen C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Middelfart in this 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Middelfart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fredensborg
35%
Draws
39%
Middelfart
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Middelfart lately — more wins on the board than Fredensborg.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 16%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredensborg Middelfart
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.7 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Middelfart vs Fredensborg
0:0
Apr 8, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Fredensborg vs Middelfart
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredensborg 36 / 100
Middelfart 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredensborg Middelfart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middelfart Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Middelfart conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Fredensborg's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Fredensborg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Middelfart
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredensborg

(Home)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
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Middelfart

(Away)
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
VSK Aarhus
13 Sept
Skive
0 : 0
Middelfart
09 Sept
Nykobing
6 : 5
Middelfart
05 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
Fremad Amager
29 Aug
Hellerup
1 : 2
Middelfart
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