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Fredensborg vs Naesby

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Kaalund M.
73' Event
Bock A.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Fredensborg and Naesby finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Fredensborg
15%
Draws
51%
Naesby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naesby come out ahead of Fredensborg on wins alone.
  • Naesby are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 10%
Naesby Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredensborg Naesby
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.7 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Naesby vs Fredensborg
2:1
Apr 22, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Fredensborg vs Naesby
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredensborg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Bock A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredensborg 18 / 100
Naesby 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredensborg Naesby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naesby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Naesby's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Fredensborg scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Naesby
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredensborg

(Home)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
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Naesby

(Away)
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
25 Aug
Munkebo BK
0 : 5
Naesby
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