Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredensborg vs Svendborg

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Bertelsen M.

AI Match Summary

Svendborg in this 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Svendborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fredensborg
39%
Draws
30%
Svendborg
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Svendborg have won more games recently than Fredensborg.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Svendborg have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 14%
Svendborg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredensborg Svendborg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Fredensborg vs Svendborg
0:1
Apr 13, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Svendborg vs Fredensborg
2:2
Aug 31, 2011 Betano Pokalen
Fredensborg vs Svendborg
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredensborg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Svendborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertelsen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredensborg 31 / 100
Svendborg 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredensborg Svendborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svendborg let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Fredensborg's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Fredensborg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fredensborg VS Svendborg
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredensborg

(Home)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
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Svendborg

(Away)
17 Jun
Hellerup
2 : 2
Svendborg
10 Jun
Svendborg
2 : 5
Odder
05 Jun
Svendborg
2 : 1
Holbaek
01 Jun
Fredensborg
0 : 1
Svendborg
27 May
Svendborg
0 : 2
Vejgaard
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