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Fredensborg vs VSK Aarhus

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Smith A.
61' Event
Andersen M.
72' Event
Hogh Jensen F.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Fredensborg and VSK Aarhus finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fredensborg
30%
Draws
39%
VSK Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VSK Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VSK Aarhus come out ahead of Fredensborg on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 19%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredensborg VSK Aarhus
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 6 12
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.7 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Fredensborg vs VSK Aarhus
2:2
Apr 1, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
VSK Aarhus vs Fredensborg
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredensborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wisborg N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

VSK Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hogh Jensen F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredensborg 36 / 100
VSK Aarhus 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredensborg VSK Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VSK Aarhus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Fredensborg scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: VSK Aarhus conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fredensborg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS VSK Aarhus
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredensborg

(Home)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
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VSK Aarhus

(Away)
13 Sept
VSK Aarhus
2 : 2
Boldklubben 1893
09 Sept
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Lyngby
05 Sept
Roskilde
1 : 0
VSK Aarhus
29 Aug
VSK Aarhus
0 : 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
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