Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredericia vs Esbjerg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Monjasa Park, Fredericia
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Winther F.
61'
Sub
Boesen O. In: Kolawole J.
Out: Boesen O.
61'
Sub
Aronsson F. In: Sonderskov A.
Out: Aronsson F.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division game between Fredericia and Esbjerg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fredericia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Fredericia
35%
Draws
24%
Esbjerg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fredericia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Fredericia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fredericia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fredericia Clean Sheet 16%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredericia Esbjerg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
2:1
Sep 5, 2026 1st Division
Fredericia vs Esbjerg
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 1st Division
Fredericia vs Esbjerg
1:1
Apr 22, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorgensen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Esbjerg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredericia 75 / 100
Esbjerg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredericia Esbjerg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredericia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredericia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Esbjerg let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Fredericia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fredericia VS Esbjerg
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredericia

(Home)
31 Oct
Fredericia
3 : 1
AB Copenhagen
24 Oct
Esbjerg
2 : 1
Fredericia
17 Oct
Fredericia
3 : 0
Hobro
10 Oct
Hillerod
0 : 2
Fredericia
20 Sept
Fredericia
2 : 2
Vejle
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Esbjerg

(Away)
31 Oct
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Hvidovre IF
28 Oct
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Nordsjaelland
24 Oct
Esbjerg
2 : 1
Fredericia
16 Oct
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Esbjerg
10 Oct
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Aalborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 13 8 5 0 24:13 29
2 Vejle 13 6 6 1 25:16 24
3 Fredericia 13 6 5 2 21:9 23
4 AB Copenhagen 13 5 3 5 18:15 18
5 Aarhus Fremad 13 4 6 3 12:11 18
6 Hobro 13 4 4 5 16:23 16
7 Kolding IF 13 3 6 4 16:17 15
8 Aalborg 13 3 6 4 16:18 15
9 Hillerod 13 3 3 7 15:20 12
10 Vendsyssel FF 13 2 6 5 14:21 12
11 Koge 13 2 5 6 19:25 11
12 Esbjerg 13 2 5 6 16:24 11
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)