Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredericia vs Esbjerg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Monjasa Park, Fredericia
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Winther F.
61'
Sub
Boesen O. In: Kolawole J.
Out: Boesen O.
61'
Sub
Aronsson F. In: Sonderskov A.
Out: Aronsson F.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division game between Fredericia and Esbjerg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fredericia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Fredericia
30%
Draws
41%
Esbjerg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esbjerg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Fredericia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fredericia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fredericia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fredericia Clean Sheet 16%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredericia Esbjerg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 1st Division
Fredericia vs Esbjerg
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 1st Division
Fredericia vs Esbjerg
1:1
Apr 22, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Fredericia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorgensen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Esbjerg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredericia 48 / 100
Esbjerg 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredericia Esbjerg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredericia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredericia scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Esbjerg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Fredericia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fredericia VS Esbjerg
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredericia

(Home)
12 Sept
Kolding IF
0 : 0
Fredericia
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Hvidovre IF
2 : 1
Fredericia
26 Aug
Fredericia
1 : 2
Odense
21 Aug
Fredericia
0 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
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Esbjerg

(Away)
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
25 Aug
Skive
1 : 5
Esbjerg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vejle 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
2 Hvidovre IF 8 5 3 0 15:8 18
3 Fredericia 8 3 4 1 10:4 13
4 Aarhus Fremad 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
5 Hobro 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
6 Aalborg 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
7 Vendsyssel FF 8 2 3 3 8:12 9
8 Hillerod 8 2 2 4 12:13 8
9 Kolding IF 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
10 AB Copenhagen 8 1 3 4 8:10 6
11 Esbjerg 8 1 2 5 10:16 5
12 Koge 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)